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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.74+4.68vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+2.71vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.51+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.13+0.79vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.93-1.76vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.22-1.33vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.44-2.80vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95-2.76vs Predicted
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9George Washington University-0.12-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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4.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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4.17Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.79University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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3.24College of Charleston2.930.3%1st Place
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4.67U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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4.2Georgetown University2.440.1%1st Place
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5.24St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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8.29George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 23.0% | 8.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 8.5% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 2.9% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 13.6% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 1.3% |
| Cole Woodworth | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 2.7% |
| Alexander Gonzalez | 26.5% | 20.4% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Tanner Kelly | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 1.9% |
| Peter Barnard | 13.4% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 1.2% |
| Jonathan Weed | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 5.2% |
| Eva Wieting | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 8.8% | 76.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.