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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+3.51vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.51+2.32vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95+2.29vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.74+1.52vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.93-1.76vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.22-1.33vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.44-2.78vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.13-3.08vs Predicted
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9George Washington University-0.12-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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4.32Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.29St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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5.52Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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3.24College of Charleston2.930.3%1st Place
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4.67U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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4.22Georgetown University2.440.1%1st Place
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4.92University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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8.29George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Cormie | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 1.7% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 10.9% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 2.3% |
| Jonathan Weed | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 4.5% |
| Tyler Brown | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 21.7% | 6.2% |
| Alexander Gonzalez | 26.8% | 19.3% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Tanner Kelly | 10.7% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 1.9% |
| Peter Barnard | 13.9% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 1.3% |
| Cole Woodworth | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 3.8% |
| Eva Wieting | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 7.7% | 77.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.