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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.22+3.72vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.13+3.09vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.44+1.29vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.51+0.03vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.93-1.75vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.74-0.38vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-2.54vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95-2.74vs Predicted
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9George Washington University-0.12-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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4.29Georgetown University2.440.1%1st Place
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4.03Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
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3.25College of Charleston2.930.3%1st Place
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5.62Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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4.46St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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5.26St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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8.29George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Kelly | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 2.2% |
| Cole Woodworth | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 4.8% |
| Peter Barnard | 12.9% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 1.2% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 14.4% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Gonzalez | 25.8% | 20.3% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Brown | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 19.3% | 20.7% | 6.3% |
| Landon Cormie | 12.0% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 2.1% |
| Jonathan Weed | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 18.7% | 5.2% |
| Eva Wieting | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 8.4% | 76.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.