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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.13+3.90vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95+3.46vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.44+1.28vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.22+0.60vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-0.60vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.51-1.92vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.93-3.69vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.74-2.35vs Predicted
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9George Washington University-0.12-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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5.46St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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4.28Georgetown University2.440.1%1st Place
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4.6U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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4.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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4.08Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
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3.31College of Charleston2.930.2%1st Place
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5.65Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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8.3George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Woodworth | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 3.0% |
| Jonathan Weed | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 6.1% |
| Peter Barnard | 13.6% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 1.1% |
| Tanner Kelly | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 2.4% |
| Landon Cormie | 12.7% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 2.6% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 14.9% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Gonzalez | 22.4% | 20.4% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Brown | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 23.9% | 7.3% |
| Eva Wieting | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 9.0% | 76.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.