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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.93+2.32vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.44+2.41vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.22+1.74vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95+1.14vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.51-0.98vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.13-1.09vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-2.52vs Predicted
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8George Washington University-0.12+0.29vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.74-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32College of Charleston2.930.2%1st Place
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4.41Georgetown University2.440.1%1st Place
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4.74U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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5.14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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4.02Fordham University2.510.2%1st Place
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4.91University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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4.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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8.29George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
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5.67Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Gonzalez | 23.1% | 19.5% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Peter Barnard | 9.9% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Tanner Kelly | 10.9% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 2.3% |
| Jonathan Weed | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 4.9% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 16.3% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| Cole Woodworth | 10.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 3.5% |
| Landon Cormie | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 1.6% |
| Eva Wieting | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 9.2% | 76.3% |
| Tyler Brown | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 22.8% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.