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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.93+1.30vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.22+1.15vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.13+0.32vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-0.94vs Predicted
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5George Washington University-0.12+0.61vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3College of Charleston2.930.3%1st Place
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3.15U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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3.32University of Pennsylvania2.130.2%1st Place
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3.06St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.2%1st Place
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5.61George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
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3.55St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Gonzalez | 34.7% | 27.8% | 18.7% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 0.9% |
| Tanner Kelly | 18.0% | 20.0% | 18.0% | 20.6% | 19.4% | 4.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 15.3% | 15.9% | 21.1% | 20.5% | 23.2% | 4.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 18.3% | 19.7% | 21.2% | 21.7% | 16.5% | 2.6% |
| Eva Wieting | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 82.8% |
| Jonathan Weed | 12.8% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 21.0% | 28.5% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.