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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.93+1.32vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.22+1.12vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95+0.53vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.13-0.76vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-1.84vs Predicted
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6George Washington University-0.12-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32College of Charleston2.930.3%1st Place
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3.12U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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3.53St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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3.24University of Pennsylvania2.130.2%1st Place
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3.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.2%1st Place
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5.63George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Gonzalez | 34.6% | 27.2% | 18.2% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 0.9% |
| Tanner Kelly | 17.3% | 20.7% | 20.5% | 19.0% | 19.0% | 3.5% |
| Jonathan Weed | 13.0% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 22.7% | 26.4% | 5.8% |
| Cole Woodworth | 16.7% | 16.5% | 20.2% | 21.9% | 21.8% | 2.9% |
| Landon Cormie | 17.1% | 20.3% | 20.1% | 19.0% | 18.9% | 4.6% |
| Eva Wieting | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 82.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.