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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.93+1.31vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95+1.48vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.00vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.13-0.73vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.22-1.70vs Predicted
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6George Washington University-0.12-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31College of Charleston2.930.4%1st Place
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3.48St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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3.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.2%1st Place
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3.27University of Pennsylvania2.130.2%1st Place
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3.3U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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5.64George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Gonzalez | 35.4% | 27.1% | 17.5% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Weed | 12.5% | 17.5% | 17.7% | 20.3% | 25.9% | 6.1% |
| Landon Cormie | 19.4% | 20.7% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 16.0% | 2.3% |
| Cole Woodworth | 16.2% | 15.3% | 21.5% | 22.3% | 21.9% | 2.8% |
| Tanner Kelly | 15.2% | 18.2% | 19.9% | 20.4% | 20.8% | 5.5% |
| Eva Wieting | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 82.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.