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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.57+3.42vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.26+3.23vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.75+1.08vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.37-1.19vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.81+0.86vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.86-0.14vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-1.15vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-1.85vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.41-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.23George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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4.08College of Charleston1.750.2%1st Place
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2.81Georgetown University2.370.3%1st Place
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5.86Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.86U. S. Naval Academy0.860.1%1st Place
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5.85St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.1%1st Place
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6.15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.72University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Cutler | 13.2% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 4.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.0% |
| Grace Squires | 15.9% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Kelly Bates | 28.7% | 24.9% | 16.8% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 19.7% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 16.5% |
| Lily Flack | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 16.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 23.4% |
| Adra Ivancich | 10.4% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.