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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.75+3.04vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.37+1.02vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.86+2.98vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+2.04vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.26-0.06vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.57-1.65vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.21vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.81-1.99vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04College of Charleston1.750.2%1st Place
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3.02Georgetown University2.370.3%1st Place
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5.98U. S. Naval Academy0.860.1%1st Place
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6.04St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.94George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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4.35Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.79University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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6.01Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.83St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Squires | 16.1% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Kelly Bates | 25.3% | 22.8% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 18.0% | 17.7% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 21.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 9.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 13.9% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% |
| Adra Ivancich | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.2% |
| Gianna Dewey | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 20.5% |
| Lily Flack | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.