← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston1.75+3.01vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University0.81+4.20vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania1.41+1.78vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.37-1.16vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.26-0.06vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-0.24vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy0.86-1.07vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-1.85vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University1.57-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.01College of Charleston1.750.2%1st Place
-
6.2Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
-
4.78University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
-
2.84Georgetown University2.370.3%1st Place
-
4.94George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
-
5.76St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.1%1st Place
-
5.93U. S. Naval Academy0.860.1%1st Place
-
6.15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
-
4.38Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Squires | 16.0% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.6% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 21.6% |
| Adra Ivancich | 11.1% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 5.7% |
| Kelly Bates | 27.8% | 25.3% | 17.0% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 9.9% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 8.8% |
| Lily Flack | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 15.1% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 17.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 23.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 12.6% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.