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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+3.04vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.22+10.72vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.71+2.67vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+4.07vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77+3.58vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.10+5.15vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38+0.60vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.60+2.54vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.97+0.28vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-0.89vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.02-2.95vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.09-3.46vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.10-2.60vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.99-4.77vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.51-3.69vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.54-2.59vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.93-3.79vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.81-7.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Stanford University3.3019.4%1st Place
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12.72Northeastern University1.221.6%1st Place
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5.67Yale University2.7113.7%1st Place
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8.07Georgetown University2.205.9%1st Place
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8.58University of Pennsylvania1.774.7%1st Place
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11.15Harvard University2.102.5%1st Place
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7.6Cornell University2.387.8%1st Place
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10.54University of South Florida1.603.5%1st Place
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9.28Roger Williams University1.974.5%1st Place
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9.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.5%1st Place
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8.05Tulane University2.025.9%1st Place
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8.54Boston College2.096.7%1st Place
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10.4Dartmouth College2.103.7%1st Place
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9.23Brown University1.995.1%1st Place
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11.31Bowdoin College1.512.8%1st Place
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13.41Tufts University0.541.6%1st Place
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13.21George Washington University0.931.7%1st Place
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10.11College of Charleston1.813.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 19.4% | 18.4% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 16.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% |
| Bridget Green | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.6% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Young | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 24.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 19.9% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.