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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.00+3.39vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.40+1.70vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.06+1.26vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.72+0.87vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.93vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.11-2.89vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16-2.79vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University1.71-3.01vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.50-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39Yale University3.000.1%1st Place
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3.7Brown University3.400.2%1st Place
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4.26Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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4.87Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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5.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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4.11University of Vermont3.110.2%1st Place
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6.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.1%1st Place
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6.99Wesleyan University1.710.0%1st Place
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5.4Bowdoin College2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Hession | 13.6% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 16.4% | 19.9% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Eric Decesar | 15.0% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 3.1% |
| Peter Hughes | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.5% |
| William Cotta | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 10.1% |
| Quentin Chafee | 15.8% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Michael Reney | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 20.1% | 20.2% |
| Dylan Griffin | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 39.5% |
| Viktor Bolmgren | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.