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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Ocean County College0.26+2.14vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology1.37-0.50vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.55-0.34vs Predicted
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5American University0.36-1.01vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.70-2.39vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology1.37-4.50vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University0.98-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Ocean County College0.260.1%1st Place
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2.5Rochester Institute of Technology1.370.3%1st Place
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3.66Drexel University0.550.1%1st Place
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3.99American University0.360.1%1st Place
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3.61Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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2.5Rochester Institute of Technology1.370.3%1st Place
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3.09Monmouth University0.980.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Johnson | 8.8% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 19.6% | 29.7% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 32.9% | 24.4% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Doran | 13.7% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 20.3% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Schapperle | 10.3% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 21.1% | 23.9% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 13.3% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 32.9% | 24.4% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Luisi | 21.0% | 19.6% | 19.8% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.