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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.86+4.93vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University0.81+4.17vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.37-0.08vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.75-0.06vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.26-0.06vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.57-1.64vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.80vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.41-3.26vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93U. S. Naval Academy0.860.1%1st Place
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6.17Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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2.92Georgetown University2.370.3%1st Place
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3.94College of Charleston1.750.2%1st Place
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4.94George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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4.36Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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6.2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.74University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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5.81St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubin Hattendorf | 6.8% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 17.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 21.6% |
| Kelly Bates | 27.6% | 21.9% | 17.5% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Grace Squires | 15.5% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 9.3% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 12.7% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 21.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% |
| Lily Flack | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.