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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.37+1.89vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.41+2.99vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+2.90vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.57+0.28vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.81+0.85vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.75-2.05vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.26-1.91vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-1.88vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.86-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Georgetown University2.370.3%1st Place
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4.99University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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5.9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.1%1st Place
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4.28Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.85Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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3.95College of Charleston1.750.2%1st Place
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5.09George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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6.12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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5.93U. S. Naval Academy0.860.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 28.6% | 22.2% | 17.9% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% |
| Lily Flack | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 18.6% | 16.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 13.3% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Gianna Dewey | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 20.2% |
| Grace Squires | 15.7% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 8.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 22.5% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.