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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.81+5.03vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.26+3.26vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.75+1.07vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.57+0.30vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.37-2.17vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.86-0.16vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-1.18vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-1.87vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.41-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.26George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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4.07College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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4.3Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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2.83Georgetown University2.370.3%1st Place
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5.84U. S. Naval Academy0.860.1%1st Place
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5.82St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.1%1st Place
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6.13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.71University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianna Dewey | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 19.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 10.1% |
| Grace Squires | 14.3% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 12.2% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% |
| Kelly Bates | 32.1% | 23.6% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 16.8% |
| Lily Flack | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 15.9% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 23.5% |
| Adra Ivancich | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.