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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.75+3.05vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.86+4.13vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.81+3.03vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.26+0.96vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.37-2.13vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-0.28vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.57-2.59vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-1.88vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.41-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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6.03Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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4.96George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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2.87Georgetown University2.370.3%1st Place
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5.72St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.1%1st Place
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4.41Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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6.12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.71University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Squires | 14.7% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 18.0% | 19.8% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 20.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 7.8% |
| Kelly Bates | 31.8% | 20.8% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Lily Flack | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 14.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 10.9% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 24.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 10.2% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.