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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.75+3.04vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University0.81+4.21vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.37-0.12vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.26+0.96vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.86+0.75vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-0.22vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.79vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.41-3.22vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.57-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04College of Charleston1.750.2%1st Place
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6.21Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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2.88Georgetown University2.370.3%1st Place
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4.96George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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5.75U. S. Naval Academy0.860.1%1st Place
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5.78St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.1%1st Place
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6.21St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.78University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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4.38Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Squires | 15.8% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 21.5% |
| Kelly Bates | 29.2% | 21.1% | 17.3% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 8.1% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 5.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 18.4% |
| Lily Flack | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 16.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 21.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 11.4% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 6.6% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 13.0% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.