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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+5.14vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.75+2.26vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.41+1.79vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.37-1.19vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.81+0.82vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-0.23vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.26-1.91vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.57-3.62vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.86-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.26College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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4.79University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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2.81Georgetown University2.370.3%1st Place
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5.82Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.77St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.1%1st Place
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5.09George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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4.38Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.94U. S. Naval Academy0.860.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 21.4% |
| Grace Squires | 12.3% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 6.3% |
| Kelly Bates | 29.1% | 23.8% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 20.1% |
| Lily Flack | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 15.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 7.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 13.3% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.