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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.75+3.08vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.26+3.26vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.57+1.47vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.86+1.79vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.81+0.82vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.41-1.31vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-1.15vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.37-5.09vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08College of Charleston1.750.2%1st Place
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5.26George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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4.47Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Naval Academy0.860.1%1st Place
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5.82Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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4.69University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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5.85St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.1%1st Place
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2.91Georgetown University2.370.3%1st Place
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6.15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Squires | 15.7% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 9.6% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 12.5% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 4.7% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 5.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 17.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 20.4% |
| Adra Ivancich | 10.3% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.6% |
| Lily Flack | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 16.3% |
| Kelly Bates | 29.5% | 22.5% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.