Race 11A

oyster-bowl-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Piper Holthus 31.8% 24.7% 16.1% 12.6% 6.8% 4.5% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Grace Squires 11.0% 16.2% 15.3% 14.5% 13.4% 10.7% 8.6% 6.8% 3.5%
Elizabeth Cutler 12.3% 12.6% 13.2% 13.1% 14.0% 11.4% 10.6% 8.7% 4.1%
Avery Canavan 9.3% 10.7% 11.3% 12.6% 12.7% 12.1% 11.2% 11.5% 8.6%
Cho-Cho Williams 5.1% 7.7% 8.3% 9.1% 9.8% 10.0% 14.2% 14.0% 21.8%
Adra Ivancich 10.4% 10.6% 12.1% 13.1% 13.7% 15.0% 9.6% 9.8% 5.7%
Gianna Dewey 6.4% 4.6% 7.0% 8.3% 9.5% 12.4% 13.8% 19.2% 18.8%
Lily Flack 7.2% 6.5% 9.0% 8.2% 10.6% 11.1% 15.0% 14.0% 18.4%
Aubin Hattendorf 6.5% 6.4% 7.7% 8.5% 9.5% 12.8% 14.1% 15.5% 19.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.