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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+5.19vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.57+2.65vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55-0.36vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.41+0.69vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.75-1.03vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-0.20vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.81-0.95vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.26-2.93vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.86-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.65Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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2.64Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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4.69University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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3.97College of Charleston1.750.2%1st Place
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5.8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.1%1st Place
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6.05Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.07George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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5.94U. S. Naval Academy0.860.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 22.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 9.1% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 33.1% | 23.2% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 9.4% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.3% |
| Grace Squires | 16.6% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Lily Flack | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 15.7% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 18.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 8.9% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.