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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+1.65vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.41+2.98vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+2.89vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.81+1.92vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.86+0.76vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.26-0.94vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.78vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.57-3.53vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.75-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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4.98University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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5.89St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.1%1st Place
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5.92Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.76U. S. Naval Academy0.860.1%1st Place
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5.06George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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6.22St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.47Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.04College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 31.7% | 24.9% | 16.8% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.5% |
| Lily Flack | 5.7% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 18.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 18.7% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 18.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 7.7% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 22.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 12.3% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 4.5% |
| Grace Squires | 15.0% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.