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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology1.37+1.81vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology1.37+0.81vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University1.95-0.92vs Predicted
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4American University0.36+0.16vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.55-2.12vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.70-3.22vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College0.26-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Rochester Institute of Technology1.370.2%1st Place
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2.81Rochester Institute of Technology1.370.2%1st Place
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2.08Monmouth University1.950.4%1st Place
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4.16American University0.360.1%1st Place
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3.88Drexel University0.550.1%1st Place
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3.78Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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4.3Ocean County College0.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roy Ingham | 22.1% | 26.7% | 19.1% | 18.0% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 22.1% | 26.7% | 19.1% | 18.0% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 43.3% | 24.9% | 17.7% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Schapperle | 8.5% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 24.5% | 25.5% | 0.0% |
| Edward Doran | 9.2% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 19.3% | 23.7% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 10.2% | 13.9% | 20.0% | 17.7% | 19.7% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Johnson | 6.7% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 20.3% | 31.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.