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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.57+3.46vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.75+2.28vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.41+1.81vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.55-1.43vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+0.67vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.26-0.95vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.76vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.81-2.01vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.86-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.28College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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4.81University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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2.57Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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5.67St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.1%1st Place
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5.05George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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6.24St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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5.99Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.93U. S. Naval Academy0.860.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Cutler | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% |
| Grace Squires | 11.4% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| Adra Ivancich | 10.9% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 6.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 33.3% | 25.4% | 16.5% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lily Flack | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 17.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 7.7% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 22.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 19.9% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.