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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.75+3.09vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+0.76vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.57+1.51vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.81+1.94vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+0.68vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.41-1.23vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.26-1.87vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.86-2.06vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09College of Charleston1.750.2%1st Place
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2.76Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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4.51Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.94Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.68St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.1%1st Place
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4.77University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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5.13George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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5.94U. S. Naval Academy0.860.1%1st Place
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6.19St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Squires | 15.7% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 28.8% | 25.6% | 17.1% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 11.8% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 16.5% | 19.3% |
| Lily Flack | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 17.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 10.8% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 6.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 8.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 19.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.