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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.75+3.06vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+0.79vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.81+3.11vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.86+1.80vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.57-0.67vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-0.19vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.18vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.26-2.90vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06College of Charleston1.750.2%1st Place
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2.79Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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6.11Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.8U. S. Naval Academy0.860.1%1st Place
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4.33Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.81St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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5.1George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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6.18St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Squires | 15.2% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 28.0% | 25.1% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 20.9% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 18.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 13.7% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% |
| Lily Flack | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 15.4% |
| Adra Ivancich | 10.4% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 5.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 8.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 6.2% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.