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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.75+3.09vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+4.39vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55-0.36vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.26+0.99vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.81+0.91vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.57-1.58vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.24vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.86-2.08vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09College of Charleston1.750.2%1st Place
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6.39St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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2.64Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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4.99George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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5.91Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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4.42Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.76University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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5.92U. S. Naval Academy0.860.1%1st Place
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5.88St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Squires | 15.3% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 19.7% | 23.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 31.9% | 24.7% | 17.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 7.5% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 20.6% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 11.3% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 4.8% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 19.3% |
| Lily Flack | 6.6% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.