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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago1.00+2.19vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas-0.65+4.77vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.50+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.67-0.20vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.64-1.21vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-0.44+0.22vs Predicted
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7Lake Forest College-0.85+0.12vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-1.08-0.29vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-2.73+2.10vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.27-4.12vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-2.30-0.71vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-2.05-1.96vs Predicted
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13Northern Michigan University-2.54-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19University of Chicago1.000.2%1st Place
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6.77University of Saint Thomas-0.650.0%1st Place
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4.17Purdue University0.500.1%1st Place
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3.8University of Wisconsin0.670.2%1st Place
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3.79University of Notre Dame0.640.2%1st Place
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6.22Northern Michigan University-0.440.1%1st Place
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7.12Lake Forest College-0.850.0%1st Place
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7.71University of Minnesota-1.080.0%1st Place
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11.1University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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5.88Northwestern University-0.270.1%1st Place
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10.29Northwestern University-2.300.0%1st Place
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10.04Marquette University-2.050.0%1st Place
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10.93Northern Michigan University-2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 24.0% | 20.7% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Justin Skene | 13.3% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marley Barrett | 17.5% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 17.1% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marco Constantini | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Marquez | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Hayden Johansen | 2.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Beute | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 15.0% | 22.6% | 37.0% |
| George Warfel | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Marguerite Eno | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 20.5% | 19.9% | 17.5% |
| Lily Brandt | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 16.8% | 19.5% | 19.5% | 14.3% |
| Branden Palarz | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 25.8% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.