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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.50+3.16vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.67+1.79vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago1.00+0.17vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.64-0.16vs Predicted
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5Lake Forest College-0.85+2.13vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-1.08+1.73vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas-0.65-0.37vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.27-2.14vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-0.44-2.70vs Predicted
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10Northern Michigan University-2.54+0.81vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-2.05-1.20vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-2.73-0.77vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-2.30-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Purdue University0.500.2%1st Place
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3.79University of Wisconsin0.670.2%1st Place
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3.17University of Chicago1.000.2%1st Place
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3.84University of Notre Dame0.640.2%1st Place
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7.13Lake Forest College-0.850.0%1st Place
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7.73University of Minnesota-1.080.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Saint Thomas-0.650.1%1st Place
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5.86Northwestern University-0.270.1%1st Place
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6.3Northern Michigan University-0.440.1%1st Place
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10.81Northern Michigan University-2.540.0%1st Place
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9.8Marquette University-2.050.0%1st Place
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11.23University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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10.54Northwestern University-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Skene | 15.2% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marley Barrett | 15.8% | 19.6% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 24.0% | 20.6% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 17.1% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Marquez | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Hayden Johansen | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 5.7% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| George Warfel | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Marco Constantini | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Branden Palarz | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 17.6% | 24.3% | 27.6% |
| Lily Brandt | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 19.0% | 18.1% | 10.9% |
| Andrew Beute | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 14.2% | 22.1% | 38.6% |
| Marguerite Eno | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 20.0% | 22.5% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.