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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.50+3.00vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.64+1.72vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas-0.65+3.56vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago1.00-0.95vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.67-1.44vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.27-0.46vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-2.05+2.43vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-2.30+2.01vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-1.08-1.56vs Predicted
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10Northern Michigan University-0.44-4.01vs Predicted
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11Northern Michigan University-2.54-0.59vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-2.73-1.04vs Predicted
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13Lake Forest College-2.38-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Purdue University0.500.2%1st Place
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3.72University of Notre Dame0.640.2%1st Place
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6.56University of Saint Thomas-0.650.0%1st Place
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3.05University of Chicago1.000.3%1st Place
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3.56University of Wisconsin0.670.2%1st Place
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5.54Northwestern University-0.270.1%1st Place
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9.43Marquette University-2.050.0%1st Place
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10.01Northwestern University-2.300.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Minnesota-1.080.0%1st Place
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5.99Northern Michigan University-0.440.1%1st Place
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10.41Northern Michigan University-2.540.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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10.33Lake Forest College-2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Skene | 16.0% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 15.8% | 19.1% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 25.1% | 21.7% | 17.5% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marley Barrett | 18.6% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Warfel | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lily Brandt | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 19.0% | 13.9% | 9.4% |
| Marguerite Eno | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 15.4% |
| Hayden Johansen | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Marco Constantini | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Branden Palarz | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 21.2% | 19.7% |
| Andrew Beute | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 15.3% | 19.8% | 33.9% |
| Wiktoria Pedryc | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 20.5% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.