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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.23+1.38vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago0.40+1.66vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-1.57+3.73vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.50+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-1.09vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.26-1.98vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.79-1.92vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.12-4.85vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas-1.95-1.55vs Predicted
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11Northern Michigan University-2.47-1.60vs Predicted
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12Lake Forest College-2.60-2.24vs Predicted
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13Northern Michigan University-3.53-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Northwestern University1.230.3%1st Place
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3.66University of Chicago0.400.2%1st Place
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7.73University of Michigan-1.570.0%1st Place
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5.49Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.91University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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5.02University of Wisconsin-0.260.1%1st Place
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6.08Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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4.15Northwestern University0.120.1%1st Place
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8.45University of Saint Thomas-1.950.0%1st Place
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9.4Northern Michigan University-2.470.0%1st Place
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9.76Lake Forest College-2.600.0%1st Place
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10.97Northern Michigan University-3.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Weinstein | 34.8% | 27.6% | 19.1% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Zhalilo | 15.7% | 17.6% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Peplinski | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 15.8% | 9.7% | 1.9% |
| Nok In Chan | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 8.9% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nigel Yu | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eli Erling | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Grace Bray | 14.4% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Conall Lynch | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 21.0% | 14.5% | 4.2% |
| Nathan Sylvester | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 21.6% | 25.0% | 14.5% |
| Juan Moya | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 13.4% | 18.9% | 27.1% | 20.4% |
| Andrew Tallmadge | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 9.2% | 19.5% | 58.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.