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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Chicago0.40+1.64vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23+1.91vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-0.26+1.02vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.50+0.50vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.23-3.66vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-2.47+2.46vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.79-1.98vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas-1.95-0.53vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-1.57-2.28vs Predicted
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11Northern Michigan University-3.53-0.12vs Predicted
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12Lake Forest College-2.60-2.22vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.12-8.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64University of Chicago0.400.2%1st Place
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4.91University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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5.02University of Wisconsin-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.5Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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2.34Northwestern University1.230.4%1st Place
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9.46Northern Michigan University-2.470.0%1st Place
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6.02Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Saint Thomas-1.950.0%1st Place
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7.72University of Michigan-1.570.0%1st Place
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10.88Northern Michigan University-3.530.0%1st Place
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9.78Lake Forest College-2.600.0%1st Place
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4.26Northwestern University0.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Zhalilo | 15.7% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 17.7% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 7.2% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nigel Yu | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nok In Chan | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jake Weinstein | 38.1% | 26.4% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Sylvester | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 14.7% | 19.5% | 28.0% | 14.2% |
| Eli Erling | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Conall Lynch | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 18.9% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 6.1% |
| Colby Peplinski | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 19.3% | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Tallmadge | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 11.5% | 17.7% | 56.8% |
| Juan Moya | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 12.0% | 21.7% | 27.4% | 19.8% |
| Grace Bray | 12.6% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.