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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University1.95+1.12vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology1.37+0.75vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.55+0.91vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.70-0.30vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.26-0.65vs Predicted
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6American University0.36-1.83vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology1.37-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Monmouth University1.950.4%1st Place
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2.75Rochester Institute of Technology1.370.2%1st Place
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3.91Drexel University0.550.1%1st Place
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3.7Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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4.35Ocean County College0.260.1%1st Place
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4.17American University0.360.1%1st Place
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2.75Rochester Institute of Technology1.370.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Stevens | 39.5% | 29.1% | 18.4% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 24.6% | 24.7% | 19.9% | 16.2% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Doran | 9.8% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 18.4% | 22.3% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 11.4% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 20.8% | 20.9% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Johnson | 6.8% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 21.6% | 32.3% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Schapperle | 7.9% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 19.2% | 20.9% | 27.3% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 24.6% | 24.7% | 19.9% | 16.2% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.