← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Monmouth University1.95+1.11vs Predicted
-
2American University0.36+2.12vs Predicted
-
4Drexel University0.70-0.32vs Predicted
-
5Rochester Institute of Technology1.37-2.25vs Predicted
-
6Drexel University0.55-1.98vs Predicted
-
7Ocean County College0.26-2.67vs Predicted
-
8Rochester Institute of Technology1.37-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.11Monmouth University1.950.4%1st Place
-
4.12American University0.360.1%1st Place
-
3.68Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
-
2.75Rochester Institute of Technology1.370.2%1st Place
-
4.02Drexel University0.550.1%1st Place
-
4.33Ocean County College0.260.1%1st Place
-
2.75Rochester Institute of Technology1.370.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Stevens | 41.7% | 26.7% | 17.6% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Schapperle | 8.2% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 22.1% | 26.3% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 11.8% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 21.2% | 20.0% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 22.7% | 24.2% | 23.4% | 17.4% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Edward Doran | 9.3% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 22.6% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Johnson | 6.3% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 22.0% | 31.5% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 22.7% | 24.2% | 23.4% | 17.4% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.