Race 1A

sister-esther

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Tyler Nash 9.5% 10.5% 10.2% 9.7% 10.0% 9.2% 8.3% 8.2% 6.4% 5.5% 4.4% 3.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2%
Mathieu Dale 11.7% 13.0% 12.2% 10.9% 12.2% 8.6% 7.2% 7.3% 6.0% 4.8% 2.2% 1.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Adrian Winkelman 7.8% 8.3% 9.3% 10.4% 8.0% 10.0% 9.9% 7.8% 9.3% 6.4% 4.9% 3.5% 2.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Emil Tullberg 1.6% 1.5% 3.2% 3.7% 3.3% 2.7% 3.9% 5.1% 6.0% 6.5% 8.0% 8.8% 10.0% 13.6% 14.7% 7.4%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.7% 4.6% 3.6% 5.1% 6.1% 6.9% 6.7% 7.3% 6.6% 9.5% 8.4% 9.2% 9.1% 6.7% 5.2% 1.3%
Jack Roman 7.2% 8.1% 11.9% 9.2% 7.9% 9.5% 8.2% 8.1% 7.5% 6.8% 6.0% 4.3% 2.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Connor Macken 7.0% 5.8% 6.4% 7.2% 7.3% 8.4% 9.1% 6.3% 8.8% 8.6% 8.1% 5.1% 5.9% 3.6% 2.0% 0.4%
Blake Behrens 25.7% 18.5% 16.0% 11.1% 10.8% 6.3% 4.9% 2.7% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Jagielski 1.5% 3.3% 2.1% 2.1% 3.5% 3.1% 3.3% 4.0% 5.8% 6.6% 7.7% 10.3% 9.8% 14.1% 14.7% 8.1%
Julian Henderson 2.4% 3.0% 3.9% 3.1% 4.0% 2.5% 4.0% 6.1% 6.4% 7.1% 8.8% 11.8% 11.2% 10.8% 10.4% 4.5%
Mathias Reimer 8.3% 7.4% 6.6% 8.7% 7.3% 8.0% 9.2% 9.6% 8.5% 6.5% 6.8% 5.4% 4.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.2%
Fritz Baldauf 3.0% 4.0% 2.6% 4.1% 5.1% 5.1% 6.5% 6.8% 6.3% 7.1% 7.9% 8.6% 10.8% 9.2% 9.7% 3.2%
Andy Leshaw 1.7% 0.8% 1.2% 1.8% 2.5% 3.6% 3.6% 3.9% 3.2% 5.4% 7.6% 7.0% 11.1% 13.8% 18.6% 14.2%
Ian McCaffrey 0.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.6% 2.3% 3.0% 4.1% 8.4% 14.8% 58.6%
Cooper Smith 3.8% 3.4% 3.5% 4.5% 4.4% 6.0% 6.5% 6.8% 8.3% 8.6% 8.8% 9.2% 10.2% 9.0% 5.5% 1.5%
Wyatt Bischoff 4.9% 6.9% 7.0% 7.8% 7.1% 8.9% 7.6% 8.8% 8.1% 7.8% 7.4% 7.8% 5.1% 2.7% 1.8% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.