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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.69+6.24vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.38+3.19vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.83+3.88vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.62+7.02vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.05-1.49vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.66+1.53vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.10-0.92vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.01-1.80vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.00-2.69vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.96-0.10vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.25-2.17vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81-1.68vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering0.52-1.82vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.03vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91-0.46vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.13-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.19Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.88Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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11.02Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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3.51Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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7.53Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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6.2Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.31Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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9.9Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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8.83Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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10.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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11.18Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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11.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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14.54University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Macken | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Mathieu Dale | 11.8% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 7.4% |
| Blake Behrens | 23.9% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Nash | 10.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 2.3% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Julian Henderson | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 4.2% |
| James Jagielski | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 7.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 20.1% | 13.0% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 61.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.