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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.69+6.17vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.01+4.07vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.38+2.04vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.83+2.82vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.10+1.08vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.62+4.79vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.05-3.58vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering0.52+3.05vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.66-1.73vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.13-0.80vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.00-4.69vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.25-3.01vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.96-3.09vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81-3.83vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.07Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.04Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.82Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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10.79Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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3.42Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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11.05Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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7.27Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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9.2University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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6.31Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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8.99Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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9.91Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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10.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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11.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Macken | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Jack Roman | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Mathieu Dale | 12.1% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Nash | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 16.4% |
| Blake Behrens | 23.9% | 20.9% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 19.4% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Cooper Smith | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 8.6% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.6% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 9.2% |
| Julian Henderson | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 16.5% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.