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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.38+4.08vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.01+4.31vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.83+3.97vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.62+7.08vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.00+1.37vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.13+3.32vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.25+1.98vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+4.00vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering0.52+2.21vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.05-6.51vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.69-3.58vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.10-5.89vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.96-3.15vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.98-4.28vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91-0.43vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.66-8.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.31Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.97Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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11.08Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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6.37Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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9.32University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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8.98Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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12.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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11.21Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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3.49Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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7.42Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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9.85Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.980.0%1st Place
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14.57University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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7.51Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathieu Dale | 11.5% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 6.7% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 2.6% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 21.9% | 13.3% |
| James Jagielski | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 7.8% |
| Blake Behrens | 23.2% | 19.0% | 16.7% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Macken | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Nash | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Gavin VanManen | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 13.7% | 61.9% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.