Race 7A

sister-esther

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Blake Behrens 25.2% 20.9% 15.0% 10.6% 11.0% 5.6% 4.6% 2.4% 1.5% 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliott Mendenhall 4.1% 4.7% 4.1% 5.2% 6.3% 7.3% 8.3% 6.9% 7.9% 7.4% 9.1% 9.8% 7.3% 7.0% 4.6%
Emil Tullberg 2.4% 2.1% 2.5% 3.4% 3.1% 4.2% 3.2% 5.5% 5.5% 7.1% 6.8% 9.5% 12.6% 16.3% 15.8%
Mathieu Dale 11.9% 13.4% 12.0% 11.5% 9.9% 10.6% 7.3% 5.6% 6.1% 4.8% 3.3% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Tyler Nash 10.3% 9.4% 8.7% 8.3% 9.7% 9.9% 10.2% 8.5% 7.4% 6.4% 3.6% 3.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
James Jagielski 1.4% 2.6% 1.3% 3.9% 3.1% 2.5% 3.0% 5.2% 4.9% 5.4% 7.8% 10.2% 13.9% 16.3% 18.5%
Connor Macken 7.5% 6.0% 6.2% 7.7% 6.8% 7.8% 9.7% 9.1% 8.5% 8.6% 6.9% 5.5% 5.4% 3.1% 1.2%
Wyatt Bischoff 6.0% 5.8% 7.4% 7.7% 6.7% 8.6% 6.4% 9.1% 8.7% 8.3% 8.5% 7.4% 4.4% 3.5% 1.5%
Jack Roman 7.6% 7.7% 10.3% 10.4% 10.7% 9.3% 9.2% 7.8% 7.9% 7.1% 5.2% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
Mathias Reimer 6.1% 6.6% 9.7% 7.5% 7.6% 9.0% 10.1% 8.0% 8.4% 7.7% 6.7% 5.3% 4.3% 2.4% 0.6%
Gavin VanManen 2.8% 3.1% 2.8% 4.7% 4.6% 4.7% 6.3% 6.4% 8.0% 6.6% 8.7% 9.5% 10.4% 12.2% 9.2%
Andy Leshaw 1.3% 0.9% 1.8% 1.2% 1.5% 2.3% 2.0% 4.3% 3.5% 5.2% 7.1% 8.5% 11.4% 16.4% 32.6%
Cooper Smith 2.5% 3.8% 4.8% 4.1% 5.5% 4.7% 5.3% 6.1% 8.2% 8.0% 9.6% 11.2% 11.0% 8.7% 6.5%
Adrian Winkelman 8.0% 8.5% 10.4% 10.1% 9.8% 7.3% 8.6% 9.4% 7.3% 7.1% 6.6% 3.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
Fritz Baldauf 2.9% 4.5% 3.0% 3.7% 3.7% 6.2% 5.8% 5.7% 6.2% 8.7% 9.0% 10.2% 10.7% 11.1% 8.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.