Race 8A

sister-esther

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Tyler Nash 9.5% 10.8% 10.4% 10.0% 8.7% 8.7% 9.1% 9.6% 6.3% 5.2% 4.4% 3.6% 1.8% 1.2% 0.7%
Adrian Winkelman 8.5% 9.2% 11.1% 10.4% 8.4% 8.7% 8.5% 8.2% 7.7% 6.3% 5.4% 3.5% 1.9% 1.7% 0.5%
Mathieu Dale 12.6% 13.9% 11.9% 9.9% 11.5% 8.8% 7.3% 7.6% 7.1% 4.3% 2.2% 1.4% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Roman 8.6% 7.8% 11.9% 9.3% 8.0% 8.6% 9.1% 8.7% 7.1% 6.5% 5.6% 4.2% 2.1% 2.1% 0.4%
Wyatt Bischoff 5.9% 7.1% 6.2% 6.6% 7.3% 7.4% 8.6% 8.0% 8.9% 9.6% 7.0% 7.8% 4.3% 4.1% 1.2%
Emil Tullberg 1.7% 2.8% 1.7% 3.4% 3.1% 3.8% 4.3% 3.5% 6.1% 6.1% 8.5% 10.8% 12.8% 15.0% 16.4%
Blake Behrens 24.8% 20.4% 15.4% 11.6% 9.6% 7.0% 4.5% 3.3% 1.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Cooper Smith 3.4% 3.8% 3.3% 6.1% 5.1% 5.2% 5.9% 6.9% 7.3% 8.9% 9.6% 10.7% 9.2% 8.8% 5.8%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.7% 3.6% 4.0% 5.8% 5.6% 7.4% 7.3% 8.7% 7.3% 7.8% 10.2% 9.4% 8.7% 7.3% 3.2%
Connor Macken 6.0% 5.2% 6.5% 7.7% 8.1% 9.2% 8.9% 7.8% 8.7% 8.6% 7.6% 5.4% 5.5% 2.9% 1.9%
James Jagielski 1.7% 2.5% 1.1% 1.9% 4.5% 3.5% 3.6% 5.1% 4.4% 7.2% 6.9% 9.2% 12.0% 14.9% 21.5%
Mathias Reimer 5.8% 6.6% 7.9% 7.3% 8.3% 8.4% 8.4% 8.9% 9.3% 8.4% 7.2% 5.2% 5.4% 2.1% 0.8%
Gavin VanManen 3.5% 2.5% 3.0% 3.7% 4.4% 5.3% 4.9% 5.6% 6.4% 8.0% 9.3% 10.9% 11.9% 11.4% 9.2%
Fritz Baldauf 3.1% 2.5% 3.4% 3.7% 4.8% 5.4% 7.0% 5.2% 7.3% 7.0% 9.6% 10.1% 11.5% 11.7% 7.7%
Andy Leshaw 1.2% 1.3% 2.2% 2.6% 2.6% 2.6% 2.6% 2.9% 4.7% 4.9% 6.2% 7.5% 11.3% 16.7% 30.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.