Race 10A

sister-esther

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Mason Stang 16.6% 14.0% 14.2% 11.6% 9.4% 8.7% 7.3% 6.1% 3.8% 4.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Wyatt Bischoff 5.2% 5.5% 7.4% 7.8% 6.2% 9.7% 6.7% 9.8% 8.5% 9.1% 7.7% 6.8% 5.4% 3.0% 1.2%
Blake Behrens 22.2% 19.6% 15.3% 12.7% 9.9% 7.0% 5.0% 3.6% 2.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.3% 3.7% 4.7% 5.4% 5.2% 5.6% 6.4% 8.5% 7.1% 8.6% 10.3% 9.5% 9.7% 7.5% 4.5%
Jack Roman 7.1% 9.1% 8.4% 7.8% 7.9% 8.7% 9.1% 9.9% 9.1% 7.9% 5.2% 4.7% 2.8% 1.9% 0.4%
Tyler Nash 8.4% 9.0% 7.5% 9.3% 11.2% 9.2% 11.1% 7.6% 7.3% 7.2% 5.2% 3.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
Adrian Winkelman 8.6% 8.8% 6.8% 8.2% 10.1% 9.2% 9.2% 8.8% 7.5% 6.8% 5.5% 4.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5%
Emil Tullberg 2.2% 1.8% 2.1% 2.6% 3.7% 3.6% 3.1% 4.3% 6.0% 7.8% 6.8% 10.8% 11.7% 16.2% 17.3%
Mathias Reimer 5.7% 6.8% 7.3% 8.3% 9.4% 8.3% 9.5% 8.4% 9.8% 6.9% 7.3% 5.9% 4.2% 1.6% 0.6%
Cooper Smith 3.4% 2.3% 3.7% 3.6% 5.1% 6.4% 6.2% 6.5% 7.2% 7.0% 10.7% 11.1% 11.9% 8.2% 6.7%
Fritz Baldauf 2.5% 3.0% 3.2% 3.5% 3.9% 5.0% 6.1% 6.1% 6.3% 8.3% 8.8% 9.7% 12.5% 11.4% 9.7%
Mathieu Dale 10.1% 10.0% 11.1% 12.2% 8.9% 8.8% 9.4% 8.4% 7.7% 4.9% 4.7% 2.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.2%
Gavin VanManen 2.1% 2.7% 4.3% 3.5% 3.5% 5.0% 4.7% 5.0% 6.4% 8.4% 9.9% 11.7% 12.6% 10.8% 9.4%
Andy Leshaw 1.1% 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 2.2% 2.1% 1.9% 3.7% 5.4% 5.8% 6.0% 8.7% 11.1% 19.1% 28.3%
James Jagielski 1.5% 2.2% 2.5% 1.9% 3.4% 2.7% 4.3% 3.3% 5.4% 5.8% 9.1% 9.0% 10.5% 17.6% 20.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.