Race 11A

sister-esther

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Jack Roman 9.1% 8.3% 8.7% 9.5% 7.7% 9.1% 8.4% 9.5% 8.5% 6.8% 5.5% 3.2% 3.3% 1.6% 0.8%
Mathias Reimer 6.6% 8.6% 8.2% 7.4% 8.0% 10.5% 7.9% 6.9% 8.7% 9.3% 6.3% 4.7% 4.3% 2.0% 0.6%
Mason Stang 14.9% 13.2% 13.4% 13.1% 11.0% 9.7% 8.0% 5.9% 4.4% 3.4% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Cooper Smith 3.0% 2.7% 4.4% 5.2% 4.9% 5.4% 6.5% 7.7% 7.0% 8.2% 8.7% 11.2% 9.9% 9.5% 5.7%
Tyler Nash 8.8% 9.0% 9.6% 7.8% 8.5% 8.3% 10.3% 10.3% 8.1% 6.4% 4.8% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Julian Henderson 1.9% 3.1% 2.4% 3.4% 3.0% 4.6% 3.6% 5.7% 6.1% 6.7% 9.8% 11.6% 14.0% 14.0% 10.1%
Blake Behrens 21.8% 18.6% 17.5% 12.6% 8.6% 7.0% 5.2% 4.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mathieu Dale 11.1% 12.3% 11.4% 9.4% 11.0% 9.7% 8.8% 7.2% 6.5% 6.0% 2.3% 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Wyatt Bischoff 4.7% 5.9% 6.4% 7.5% 9.4% 6.8% 8.8% 8.8% 9.1% 8.9% 8.2% 6.6% 4.8% 3.1% 1.0%
Elliott Mendenhall 4.2% 2.7% 3.6% 4.6% 6.3% 6.1% 5.5% 7.0% 8.3% 10.3% 10.8% 9.7% 8.7% 7.6% 4.6%
Emil Tullberg 1.5% 2.4% 1.8% 2.7% 3.6% 3.3% 4.5% 5.5% 5.1% 6.0% 9.3% 10.1% 11.6% 15.6% 17.0%
James Jagielski 1.9% 0.9% 2.0% 1.2% 2.2% 2.9% 3.7% 3.8% 6.0% 6.8% 8.6% 9.4% 12.4% 18.3% 19.9%
Adrian Winkelman 6.8% 8.6% 6.2% 8.9% 8.7% 9.0% 9.5% 7.6% 9.9% 7.8% 6.7% 5.1% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7%
Fritz Baldauf 2.5% 2.4% 2.6% 4.2% 4.6% 5.2% 6.1% 6.6% 6.4% 8.0% 9.4% 11.1% 12.3% 10.4% 8.2%
Andy Leshaw 1.2% 1.3% 1.8% 2.5% 2.5% 2.4% 3.2% 3.2% 3.5% 4.2% 7.4% 8.8% 11.8% 15.1% 31.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.