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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.91+4.74vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.63+4.64vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.79+3.20vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.13+1.31vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.93+0.79vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.38+1.65vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31+0.83vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.63-4.26vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.18-0.90vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+0.57vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.77-1.54vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59-1.90vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.23-0.55vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.88-4.88vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering-0.82-1.10vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-0.57-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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6.64Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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6.2Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.31Brown University2.130.1%1st Place
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5.79Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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7.65Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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7.83Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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3.74Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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8.1Connecticut College1.180.0%1st Place
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10.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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9.46Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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10.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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12.45University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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9.12Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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13.9Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
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13.39Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Lee | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Simpson | 11.0% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Clark Morris | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Laura Hamilton | 23.2% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wade Anthony | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Allison Nystrom | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 4.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 3.9% |
| Greer Page | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 17.1% | 20.2% | 16.5% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 21.9% | 41.5% |
| Timothy Cronin | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 15.8% | 20.6% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.