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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.79+5.09vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.13+3.13vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.93+2.73vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.91+1.97vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.63+1.68vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.31+1.81vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.38+0.58vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+1.98vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.63-5.15vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+0.54vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.18-2.81vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.23+0.47vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.88-3.85vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-0.57-0.74vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.77-5.35vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering-0.82-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.13Brown University2.130.1%1st Place
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5.73Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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6.68Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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7.81Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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9.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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3.85Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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10.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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8.19Connecticut College1.180.1%1st Place
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12.47University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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9.15Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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13.26Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
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9.65Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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13.92Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Simpson | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Clark Morris | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Henry Lee | 8.4% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Luke Hosek | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 22.3% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Nystrom | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 4.3% |
| Wade Anthony | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Greer Page | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 21.2% | 18.2% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Timothy Cronin | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 23.3% | 27.6% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 12.1% | 20.8% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.