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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.93+4.68vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.79+4.14vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.91+2.79vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.38+3.66vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.63-1.12vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.23+6.53vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.63-0.21vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+2.37vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.18-0.88vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.13-4.76vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31-3.25vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59-1.85vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.77-3.53vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-0.57-0.78vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering-0.82-1.09vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.88-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.14Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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7.66Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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3.88Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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12.53University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.79Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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10.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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8.12Connecticut College1.180.0%1st Place
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5.24Brown University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.75Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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10.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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9.47Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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13.22Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
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13.91Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
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9.3Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Morris | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lee | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Laura Hamilton | 21.3% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greer Page | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 20.5% | 17.7% |
| William Bailey | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Allison Nystrom | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 3.1% |
| Wade Anthony | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Ethan Simpson | 12.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 3.7% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Timothy Cronin | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 15.0% | 21.0% | 27.9% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 20.1% | 41.8% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.