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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.91+4.73vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.18+6.07vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.63+0.85vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.13+1.26vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.79+1.18vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.38+1.61vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.63-0.20vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+2.22vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.23+3.48vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31-2.13vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.93-5.25vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.77-2.48vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59-2.88vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering-0.82-0.18vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.88-5.67vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-0.57-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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8.07Connecticut College1.180.0%1st Place
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3.85Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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5.26Brown University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.18Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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7.61Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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6.8Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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10.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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12.48University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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7.87Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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5.75Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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9.52Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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10.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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13.82Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
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9.33Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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13.4Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Lee | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Wade Anthony | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Laura Hamilton | 20.7% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Simpson | 11.4% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| William Bailey | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| Greer Page | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 20.5% | 17.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Clark Morris | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 2.7% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 13.1% | 20.6% | 39.3% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Timothy Cronin | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 23.9% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.