← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University1.79+5.07vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.91+3.77vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University1.31+4.78vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.93+1.87vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College1.18+3.27vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+4.39vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.63-0.17vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University1.38-0.60vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+1.11vs Predicted
-
10Boston University0.77-0.37vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont-0.23+1.41vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University0.88-2.79vs Predicted
-
13Brown University2.13-7.88vs Predicted
-
14Olin College of Engineering-0.82-0.21vs Predicted
-
15Brown University2.63-11.06vs Predicted
-
16Fairfield University-0.57-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.07Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
-
5.77University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
-
7.78Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
-
5.87Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
-
8.27Connecticut College1.180.0%1st Place
-
10.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
-
6.83Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
-
7.4Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
-
10.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
-
9.63Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
-
12.41University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
-
9.21Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
-
5.12Brown University2.130.1%1st Place
-
13.79Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
-
3.94Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
-
13.42Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Henry Lee | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Clark Morris | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wade Anthony | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 5.0% |
| William Bailey | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 3.4% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Greer Page | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 15.7% | 21.8% | 17.5% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Ethan Simpson | 12.8% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 20.1% | 39.3% |
| Laura Hamilton | 20.2% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Cronin | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 22.5% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.