← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.13+4.07vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.63+1.87vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island1.91+2.82vs Predicted
-
4Yale University1.79+2.35vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University1.31+2.79vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont-0.23+6.57vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+3.37vs Predicted
-
8Olin College of Engineering-0.82+5.73vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.93-3.26vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University1.63-3.25vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University1.38-3.52vs Predicted
-
12Boston University0.77-2.45vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59-2.91vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College1.18-5.91vs Predicted
-
15Fairfield University-0.57-1.58vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University0.88-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.07Brown University2.130.1%1st Place
-
3.87Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
-
5.82University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
-
6.35Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
-
7.79Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
-
12.57University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
-
10.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
-
13.73Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
-
5.74Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
-
6.75Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
-
7.48Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
-
9.55Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
-
10.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
-
8.09Connecticut College1.180.1%1st Place
-
13.42Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
-
9.31Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Simpson | 12.3% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 21.6% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lee | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Greer Page | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 22.7% | 17.1% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 3.4% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 20.8% | 39.5% |
| Clark Morris | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hosek | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| Wade Anthony | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Timothy Cronin | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 21.5% | 31.4% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.