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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.13+4.08vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.91+3.80vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.79+3.16vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.18+4.32vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+5.38vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.63+0.80vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.38+0.61vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+2.04vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.23+3.46vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31-2.19vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.93-5.24vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering-0.82+1.86vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.88-3.84vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.63-10.25vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.77-5.38vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-0.57-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Brown University2.130.1%1st Place
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5.8University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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6.16Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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8.32Connecticut College1.180.0%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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6.8Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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7.61Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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10.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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12.46University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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7.81Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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5.76Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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13.86Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
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9.16Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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3.75Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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9.62Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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13.38Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Simpson | 12.1% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lee | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Wade Anthony | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 3.6% |
| William Bailey | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Luke Hosek | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Greer Page | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 21.0% | 17.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Clark Morris | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 19.5% | 42.4% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Laura Hamilton | 22.3% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Timothy Cronin | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 15.1% | 24.1% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.